Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.068260 0.080965 0.095217 0.112365 0.132416 0.155096 0.182673
2025-03-30 0.048318 0.064497 0.084721 0.111757 0.146847 0.190736 0.249666
2025-04-06 0.036091 0.052924 0.075845 0.109122 0.155952 0.219218 0.310824
2025-04-13 0.027836 0.044199 0.068141 0.105381 0.161418 0.242070 0.366268
2025-04-20 0.023401 0.039798 0.065320 0.107422 0.174476 0.276269 0.441312
2025-04-27 0.019816 0.035867 0.062287 0.108233 0.185218 0.307749 0.515672
2025-05-04 0.016970 0.032536 0.059508 0.108737 0.195119 0.338624 0.592340
2025-05-11 0.014851 0.030036 0.057629 0.110284 0.206665 0.373161 0.678704
2025-05-18 0.013414 0.028507 0.057162 0.114132 0.222524 0.416554 0.784886
2025-05-25 0.011319 0.025286 0.053002 0.110409 0.223928 0.434446 0.847690
2025-06-01 0.009956 0.023303 0.050896 0.110260 0.231893 0.464894 0.936505
2025-06-08 0.008679 0.021259 0.048325 0.108737 0.236838 0.490008 1.017723
2025-06-15 0.007910 0.020243 0.047815 0.111558 0.251218 0.535530 1.144885
2025-06-22 0.006947 0.018593 0.045667 0.110540 0.257462 0.565636 1.244894
2025-06-29 0.006012 0.016827 0.042963 0.107844 0.259657 0.587581 1.330473
2025-07-06 0.005157 0.015087 0.040023 0.104125 0.258998 0.603288 1.404416
2025-07-13 0.004726 0.014391 0.039513 0.106138 0.271778 0.649530 1.549642
2025-07-20 0.004286 0.013579 0.038574 0.106939 0.281756 0.690562 1.687586
2025-07-27 0.003884 0.012795 0.037579 0.107438 0.291038 0.730967 1.828336
2025-08-03 0.003569 0.012205 0.037008 0.108967 0.303088 0.779121 1.992182
2025-08-10 0.003367 0.011928 0.037264 0.112771 0.321477 0.844388 2.203535
2025-08-17 0.002936 0.010821 0.034958 0.109091 0.319634 0.859923 2.295459
2025-08-24 0.002664 0.010187 0.033940 0.108943 0.327319 0.900089 2.452740